The world's oceans are the hottest on record for June, pushing past records set during the 2023–24 El Niño years.
    • Naz@sh.itjust.works
      3·
      3 hours ago

      In any cyclical or trending system (especially one influenced by multi-year cycles like El Niño and La Niña), you expect to see clumps. Years with similar atmospheric conditions will naturally cluster together.

      An overall upward trajectory is defined by the movement of those clusters over time and the long-term statistical trend is anomalous because of shattering of previous ceilings.

      The flaw in your logic is the implicit assumption that because historical data points share similar values, the new, record-breaking spikes are somehow less significant.

      We’re living in unprecedented times, geologically. Fighting reality by questioning the measurements is a uphill battle, and disingenuous at best.

      • altphoto@lemmy.today
        1·
        50 minutes ago

        Yeah, I was just trying to figure out how the data works. Like is the first cluster made up of the oldest data points and then basically a bunch of years get clustered there, then they jump a bit and they cluster there and so on 5 times. Or do we see some years at random clustering around 5 main regions with the latest years at the very top.

        When I clicked in the link there’s a waterfall chart showing that it sort of has eschalons so it’s clustering at 5 increasing steps. Not 100% sure, but I think that’s what it is. So I wonder if each of the 5 jumps are connected to new tech or energy policy changes.