IDK, history would suggest any plan that hinges on trump behaving predictably, let alone rationally, isn’t a particularly smart plan. The potential reward is there ($300 Bil and tolls for the strait + leashed israel), but the Iranian victory thus far has largely capitalized on Trump’s unwillingness to commit US troops to actually achieving his goals, instead going full Bomber Command with precision strikes. If they play this wrong, an actual commitment of forces by the US would be disastrous for Iran, even if it does result in an ultimate Iranian victory.
IDK, history would suggest any plan that hinges on trump behaving predictably, let alone rationally, isn’t a particularly smart plan. The potential reward is there ($300 Bil and tolls for the strait + leashed israel), but the Iranian victory thus far has largely capitalized on Trump’s unwillingness to commit US troops to actually achieving his goals, instead going full Bomber Command with precision strikes. If they play this wrong, an actual commitment of forces by the US would be disastrous for Iran, even if it does result in an ultimate Iranian victory.