Democrats Need a Net Gain of Four Seats to Take Control of the Senate as Polls Show Tight Contests Across the Country.
U.S. President Donald Trump is fighting to maintain Republican control of the Senate, where his party currently holds 53 of the 100 seats, in the midterm elections on Nov. 3, which will feature 10 key races.
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Although polls show Democrats with a lead of up to 10 percentage points in national voting intention, a Democratic victory in the Senate is far from guaranteed, as polling margins in each of those races remain narrow. Democrats need a net gain of four Senate seats to take control of the upper chamber for the final two years of Trump’s term.
With less than two weeks to go before voters head to the polls to elect senators to 35 seats in the upper chamber — 22 currently held by Republicans and 13 by Democrats — here are the 10 key Senate battles:
North Carolina (Republican)
Although some media outlets consider the Republican Party to have already written off the state’s Senate seat, Republican candidate Michael Whatley still has a chance to prevent former Democratic Gov. Roy Cooper from winning.
Ohio (Republican)
With controversy over data centers at the center of the campaign — many residents oppose their construction in their cities because of the resulting increase in electricity costs — polls give former Democratic Sen. Sherrod Brown a slight lead over Republican Sen. Jon Husted.
Trump says if Democrats “get in” during the midterms, he will be “the last Republican president” pic.twitter.com/tHw1xOPn8u
— Headquarters (@HQNewsNow) October 13, 2026
Alaska (Republican)
A popular Democratic candidate, independent voters willing to cross party lines and growing economic discontent over the rising cost of living have forced Republicans to defend a seat that, under different circumstances, would appear much safer. Former Democratic Rep. Mary Peltola is leading Republican Sen. Dan Sullivan in polls.
Maine (Republican)
Veteran Republican Sen. Susan Collins took office on Jan. 3, 1997, and is facing one of the closest races of her political career. In this midterm election cycle, she is the only Republican seeking reelection in a state Trump lost in the 2024 election. Collins and her opponent, Democrat Troy Jackson, the former president of the Maine Senate, are tied in polls.
Texas (Republican)
If there is one example of Democratic momentum in the congressional elections, it is Texas, a solid Republican stronghold until now. Democrats have not won a Senate seat in the state since 1988, so a victory by Democrat James Talarico over Republican Ken Paxton would end a 38-year losing streak. Polls show Talarico with a slight lead or the two candidates tied, but none show Paxton winning.
Michigan (Democratic)
The race is crucial for Democrats to secure a Senate majority because, if Abdul El-Sayed loses, they would have to win at least five seats currently held by Republicans. The race between Democrat El-Sayed, who would become the first Muslim senator, and former Republican Rep. Mike Rogers has no clear favorite less than two weeks before Election Day.
🤡🎙️Trump se félicite des centaines de milliards que les États-Unis gagneraient grâce au pétrole depuis l’escalade au Moyen-Orient. Il reconnaît au passage que les gens paient plus cher à la pompe et explique que son équipe lui avait conseillé de ne pas trop s’en vanter. Sa… pic.twitter.com/dMORvSUtvL
— Ryo (@iamlouay) October 25, 2026
The text reads, “Trump expresses satisfaction over the hundreds of billions of dollars the U.S. stands to gain from oil following the escalation in the Middle East. He acknowledges, in passing, that people are paying more at the pump, and explains that his team had advised him not to boast about it too much. His response? ‘I couldn’t care less.’ The midterm elections are fast approaching. Keep this video handy.”
Iowa (Republican)
Polls have also failed to identify a clear winner in the quintessential American agricultural state, where rising fuel prices and discontent among rural voters threaten decades of Republican control. Democrat Josh Turek and Republican Ashley Hinson are competing for Iowa’s Senate seat.
Kansas (Republican)
The state, which has not elected a Democratic senator since 1932, could do so on Nov. 3. Democrat Adam Hamilton, a Methodist church pastor, describes himself as an “independent-minded Democrat” and faces a tight race against Republican Sen. Roger Marshall, with polls showing the candidates tied.
New Hampshire (Democratic)
Democratic Rep. Chris Pappas holds a modest lead in polls over former Republican Sen. John Sununu in a state where Trump’s popularity continues to decline.
Georgia (Democratic)
Although Trump won this Southern state in 2024, polls show Democrat Jon Ossoff consolidating his lead over Republican Rep. Mike Collins.
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Source: EFE
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