The Spanish Socialist Workers’ Party (PSOE) leads the projected vote share with 34%, while the People’s Party (PP) stands at 22.2%, according to the October barometer from the Center for Sociological Research (CIS), conducted between October 1 and 6 with 5,025 interviews.
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The poll, carried out following the eviction of Maricarmen Abascal and amidst the ongoing debate over housing in Spain, gives the Socialists a projected 34% of the vote—three points higher than in September. The People’s Party dropped 3.3 points to 22.2%, widening the gap between the two parties to 11.8 points as the pre-campaign period for the November 29 general election begins.
Meanwhile, the ultra-conservative party Vox has solidified its position as the third-largest political force with 17.1% support, up half a point from the previous barometer. For its part, Frente Amplio reaches 6.1% and Podemos obtains 3.1% of the estimated vote.
The survey was published following the eviction of Maricarmen Abascal on September 23 and the elderly woman’s death on October 7. The case sparked protests and encampments advocating for the right to housing in several Spanish cities.
Housing remains the primary concern for Spaniards, cited by 55.7% of respondents. It is followed by immigration (20.9%) and the economic crisis (20.3%).
📊 El 82,3% de los españoles coincide en que hay que priorizar “el derecho a la vivienda como un derecho constitucional”
👉 Este y otros datos, están recogidos en el barómetro de octubre: https://t.co/BW9SF9tJy4 pic.twitter.com/dxCku36Hr4
— Centro de Investigaciones Sociológicas (@CIS_Institucion) October 14, 2026
The text reads, “82.3% of Spaniards agree that priority must be given to “the right to housing as a constitutional right.” This and other data are included in the October barometer”
Additionally, 82.3% of those surveyed believe that the right to housing should be prioritized as a constitutional right. An earlier CIS barometer, published on October 8, already showed that 91% of respondents called for more public housing and 76% supported state intervention in the sector.
88.9% of those surveyed stated they had heard about Maricarmen’s case. Among those aware of the eviction, 57.1% maintained that the protection of vulnerable people is the most important aspect.
The government introduced two housing decree-laws, but they were rejected in Congress by conservative parties. That parliamentary defeat precipitated the call for early elections announced by Prime Minister Pedro Sánchez on October 5.
Mobilizations regarding access to housing will continue with a general housing strike scheduled for November 11, amidst a climate where the housing crisis sits at the center of the political and electoral agenda.
The barometer also reflects heightened concern regarding the war in the Middle East: 72.6% of respondents described themselves as “very” or “quite” concerned—an increase of 2.5 points compared to the previous survey. The Russian invasion of Ukraine is a source of concern for 68.4%, while 73.6% are worried about climate change.
#Spain | From one eviction to a nationwide political reckoning.
Mari Carmen’s death comes as Spain heads toward snap elections, with housing rights and rising rents at the center of a growing national debate.#HousingCrisis #teleSUREnglish pic.twitter.com/OhiGM0VBMU— teleSUR English (@telesurenglish) October 8, 2026
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