The Ipsos-BVA survey for La Tribune Dimanche asked respondents whether they would be happy or upset if one of nearly thirty potential candidates for the Elysee Palace were to win, with 33% expressing satisfaction if Bardella were to win and 30% if Le Pen, convicted and barred from holding public office for misappropriating public funds, were to win.

The congresswoman, who is the natural presidential candidate for RN, awaits the court’s decision following her appeal against the sentence against her. This explains why the MEP and his political protege represent the party’s plan B, given its polarizing stances against immigrants and nationalism.

In the opinion poll, 43% of respondents expressed dissatisfaction should Bardella win in 2027, and 45% should Le Pen win. These far-right figures have topped the polls in recent months. Following behind in the preferences were three government figures: former prime ministers Gabriel Attal and Edouard Philippe, and the Minister of Justice, Gerald Darmanin.

Attal received a 19% approval rating and a 46% disapproval rating, while Philippe and Darmanin finished with 18% and 45%, respectively.

On the left, the Ipsos-BVA poll placed the Socialists Raphael Glucksmann (14-46) and former President Francois Hollande (14-53) as the best positioned, followed by Francois Ruffin (13-45) and the leader of the Unbowed Movement and multiple presidential candidate Jean-Luc Melenchon (13-66).

Regarding the performance of the leaders, only 18% expressed a favorable opinion of President Emmanuel Macron, while 77% expressed a negative one. Prime Minister Sebastien Lecornu, however, enjoyed greater support (29-58).

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